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020 _a9789401787451
024 7 _a10.1007/978-94-017-8745-1
_2doi
040 _dES-MaUEC
050 4 _aHD9000.5
_bP355 2014
100 1 _aPaillard, Sandrine.
_eeditor literario
_986334
_0Local
245 1 0 _aAgrimonde :
_bScenarios and Challenges for Feeding the World in 2050
_cedited by Sandrine Paillard, Sébastien Treyer, Bruno Dorin
260 _aDordrecht, Netherlands
_bSpringer International Publishing
_c2014
300 _a1 recurso en línea (XXI, 250 p.)
_b89 ilustraciones, 80 ilustraciones en color
336 _aTexto (visual)
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _aelectrónico
_bc
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338 _arecurso electrónico
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505 0 _aPreface -- Agrimonde: a work collective -- Acknowledgments -- Introduction -- 1 Agrimonde: a platform for facilitating collective scenario-building -- 2 Agribiom: a tool for scenario-building and hybrid modelling -- 3 The world food economy: a retrospective overview -- 4 Scenario-building choices and principles -- 5 Food consumption in 2050 -- 6 Land use in 2050 -- 7 Food crop yields in 2050 -- 8 Resource-use balances in the Agrimonde scenarios -- 9 Agrimonde 1 and Agrimonde GO: comparison, coherence, drivers of change -- 10 Qualitative dimensions and Agrimonde scenario storylines -- 11 Scenario-based insight into food behaviours, technological options and trade :Food behaviours in question: are ruptures plausible? -- Conclusion -- Appendices -- Appendix 1 â€{u0329}sts of countries and FAO-SUA product lines used in Agribiom â€ïmparison of observed and simulated animal food Productions -- Appendix 2 â€{u04A5}view of the world food economy -- Appendix 3 â€Ưod availability and loss of food calories in the Agrimonde GO scenario â€ĥfinition of loss and waste of food calories -- Appendix 4 â€{u0321}nd areas in Agrimonde GO -- Appendix 5 â€{u0361}in quantitative assumptions of Agrimonde scenarios â€вocess for attaining a resource-use balance -- Appendix 6 â€{u0073}sumptions on the qualitative dimensions of the Agrimonde scenarios -- References -- List of abbreviations and acronyms -- List of authors.
520 _aHow will the world be able to feed close to 9 billion people in 2050 and still maintain the ecosystems? The 21st century has three challenges to meet concerning food and agriculture: food security in terms of both quantity and quality; protection of the environment and natural resources; and the increasing scarcity of fossil energies. In this perspective, INRA and CIRAD launched the initiative, in 2006, to develop a foresight project for analysing issues pertaining to the worldâ€{u3826}ood and agricultural systems on the 2050 timeline. The main objective was to anticipate the key issues with which tomorrowâ€{u3821}gricultural research will have to grapple. This book provides a synthetic presentation and illustrations of the main conclusions that this foresight project has yielded. First, it recapitulates the main statistical references for the period 1961 to 2003, before going on to describe the Agribiom simulation tool used to calculate food biomass resource-use balances. Two scenarios on the 2050 timeline are then considered: Agrimonde GO is a trend-based scenario that bets on economic growth to feed the world, in a context where environmental protection is not a priority. In contrast, the idea in Agrimonde 1 is to feed the world while preserving its ecosystems. This scenario explores assumptions that depart from current trends, and foresees a world in 2050 that has been able to implement sustainable agricultural and food systems. The aim is to afford a better understanding of the meaning of such development, with the dilemmas and the main challenges that it entails. This rigorous synthetic book will be of interest to decision-makers, professionals in the agricultural, environmental and food sectors, and anyone involved in research.
650 7 _2embne
_9668385
_aIndustria agrícola
700 1 _aTreyer, Sébastien
_eeditor literario
_986335
_0Local
700 1 _aDorin, Bruno
_eeditor literario
_986336
_0Local
856 4 0 _uhttps://go.openathens.net/redirector/universidadeuropea.es?url=https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-94-017-8745-1
_zAcceso a este recurso digital (usuarios Universidad Europea de Madrid)
907 _a.b12825487
_b10-10-17
_c01-10-14
942 _2lcc
_cLE
945 _aHD9000.5 P355 2014 EB
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