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| 008 | 140414s2014 ne | s |||| 0|eng d | ||
| 020 | _a9789401787451 | ||
| 024 | 7 |
_a10.1007/978-94-017-8745-1 _2doi |
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| 050 | 4 |
_aHD9000.5 _bP355 2014 |
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| 100 | 1 |
_aPaillard, Sandrine. _eeditor literario _986334 _0Local |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 |
_aAgrimonde : _bScenarios and Challenges for Feeding the World in 2050 _cedited by Sandrine Paillard, Sébastien Treyer, Bruno Dorin |
| 260 |
_aDordrecht, Netherlands _bSpringer International Publishing _c2014 |
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| 300 |
_a1 recurso en línea (XXI, 250 p.) _b89 ilustraciones, 80 ilustraciones en color |
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| 336 |
_aTexto (visual) _btxt _2rdacontent |
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_aelectrónico _bc _2rdamedia |
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_arecurso electrónico _bcr _2rdacarrier |
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| 505 | 0 | _aPreface -- Agrimonde: a work collective -- Acknowledgments -- Introduction -- 1 Agrimonde: a platform for facilitating collective scenario-building -- 2 Agribiom: a tool for scenario-building and hybrid modelling -- 3 The world food economy: a retrospective overview -- 4 Scenario-building choices and principles -- 5 Food consumption in 2050 -- 6 Land use in 2050 -- 7 Food crop yields in 2050 -- 8 Resource-use balances in the Agrimonde scenarios -- 9 Agrimonde 1 and Agrimonde GO: comparison, coherence, drivers of change -- 10 Qualitative dimensions and Agrimonde scenario storylines -- 11 Scenario-based insight into food behaviours, technological options and trade :Food behaviours in question: are ruptures plausible? -- Conclusion -- Appendices -- Appendix 1 â€{u0329}sts of countries and FAO-SUA product lines used in Agribiom â€ïmparison of observed and simulated animal food Productions -- Appendix 2 â€{u04A5}view of the world food economy -- Appendix 3 â€Ưod availability and loss of food calories in the Agrimonde GO scenario â€ĥfinition of loss and waste of food calories -- Appendix 4 â€{u0321}nd areas in Agrimonde GO -- Appendix 5 â€{u0361}in quantitative assumptions of Agrimonde scenarios â€вocess for attaining a resource-use balance -- Appendix 6 â€{u0073}sumptions on the qualitative dimensions of the Agrimonde scenarios -- References -- List of abbreviations and acronyms -- List of authors. | |
| 520 | _aHow will the world be able to feed close to 9 billion people in 2050 and still maintain the ecosystems? The 21st century has three challenges to meet concerning food and agriculture: food security in terms of both quantity and quality; protection of the environment and natural resources; and the increasing scarcity of fossil energies. In this perspective, INRA and CIRAD launched the initiative, in 2006, to develop a foresight project for analysing issues pertaining to the worldâ€{u3826}ood and agricultural systems on the 2050 timeline. The main objective was to anticipate the key issues with which tomorrowâ€{u3821}gricultural research will have to grapple. This book provides a synthetic presentation and illustrations of the main conclusions that this foresight project has yielded. First, it recapitulates the main statistical references for the period 1961 to 2003, before going on to describe the Agribiom simulation tool used to calculate food biomass resource-use balances. Two scenarios on the 2050 timeline are then considered: Agrimonde GO is a trend-based scenario that bets on economic growth to feed the world, in a context where environmental protection is not a priority. In contrast, the idea in Agrimonde 1 is to feed the world while preserving its ecosystems. This scenario explores assumptions that depart from current trends, and foresees a world in 2050 that has been able to implement sustainable agricultural and food systems. The aim is to afford a better understanding of the meaning of such development, with the dilemmas and the main challenges that it entails. This rigorous synthetic book will be of interest to decision-makers, professionals in the agricultural, environmental and food sectors, and anyone involved in research. | ||
| 650 | 7 |
_2embne _9668385 _aIndustria agrícola |
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| 700 | 1 |
_aTreyer, Sébastien _eeditor literario _986335 _0Local |
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| 700 | 1 |
_aDorin, Bruno _eeditor literario _986336 _0Local |
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| 856 | 4 | 0 |
_uhttps://go.openathens.net/redirector/universidadeuropea.es?url=https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-94-017-8745-1 _zAcceso a este recurso digital (usuarios Universidad Europea de Madrid) |
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