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008			220601s2021 sz | s |||| 0|eng d
020			_a9783031025754
024	7		_a10.1007/978-3-031-02575-4 _2doi
040			_aES-MaUEC _bspa _cES-MaUEC _dES-MaUEC
050		4	_aBF637.C4 _b2021 EB
100	1		_aJohnson, Brian David _eautor _4aut _4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut _9686918
245	1	0	_aThreatcasting _cby Brian David Johnson, Cyndi Coon, Natalie Vanatta
250			_a1st edition 2021
264		1	_aCham _bSpringer International Publishing _c2021
300			_a1 recurso en línea (XXV, 285 páginas)
336			_atexto _btxt _2rdacontent
337			_aelectrónico _bc _2rdamedia
338			_arecurso electrónico _bcr _2rdacarrier
347			_aarchivo de texto _bPDF
490	0		_aSynthesis Lectures on Threatcasting _x2771-1579
505	0		_aForeword by Andy Hines -- Preface -- How To Get the Most From This Book -- Part 1: Threatcasting: Method, Framework, and Process -- Threatcasting -- Phase 0 -- Phase 1 -- Phase 2 -- Phase 3 -- Phase 4 -- Phase 5 -- Conclusion -- Part 2: The Threatcasting Method Applied -- Introduction to Applied Threatcasting -- Large Group Threatcasting Workshop -- Small Group Threatcasting Workshop -- Individual Threatcasting -- Conclusions -- List of Acronyms -- References -- Authors' Biographies.
520			_aImpending technological advances will widen an adversary's attack plane over the next decade. Visualizing what the future will hold, and what new threat vectors could emerge, is a task that traditional planning mechanisms struggle to accomplish given the wide range of potential issues. Understanding and preparing for the future operating environment is the basis of an analytical method known as Threatcasting. It is a method that gives researchers a structured way to envision and plan for risks ten years in the future. Threatcasting uses input from social science, technical research, cultural history, economics, trends, expert interviews, and even a little science fiction to recognize future threats and design potential futures. During this human-centric process, participants brainstorm what actions can be taken to identify, track, disrupt, mitigate, and recover from the possible threats. Specifically, groups explore how to transform the future they desire into reality while avoiding an undesired future. The Threatcasting method also exposes what events could happen that indicate the progression toward an increasingly possible threat landscape. This book begins with an overview of the Threatcasting method with examples and case studies to enhance the academic foundation. Along with end-of-chapter exercises to enhance the reader's understanding of the concepts, there is also a full project where the reader can conduct a mock Threatcasting on the topic of "the next biological public health crisis." The second half of the book is designed as a practitioner's handbook. It has three separate chapters (based on the general size of the Threatcasting group) that walk the reader through how to apply the knowledge from Part I to conduct an actual Threatcasting activity. This book will be useful for a wide audience (from student to practitioner) and will hopefully promote new dialogues across communities and novel developments in the area.
988			_aSynthesis Collection of Technology_2021
650		7	_2embne _9141181 _aCambio (Psicología)
650		7	_2embne _9149119 _aProspectiva
700	1		_aCoon, Cyndi _eautor _4aut _4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut _9687763
700	1		_aVanatta, Natalie _eautor _4aut _4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut _9687762
776	0	8	_iPrinted edition: _z9783031003455
776	0	8	_iPrinted edition: _z9783031014475
776	0	8	_iPrinted edition: _z9783031037030
856	4	0	_uhttps://go.openathens.net/redirector/universidadeuropea.es?url=https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-02575-4 _zAcceso a este recurso digital (usuarios Universidad Europea de Madrid)
942			_2lcc _cLE
998			_b03/2023 _dz _esc _zSI