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020 _a9783030763978
024 7 _a10.1007/978-3-030-76397-8
_2doi
040 _aES-MaUEC
_bspa
_cES-MaUEC
_dES-MaUEC
050 4 _aHN29.5
_b2021 EB
245 1 0 _aSocial Simulation for a Crisis
_bResults and Lessons from Simulating the COVID-19 Crisis
_cedited by Frank Dignum.
250 _aFirst edition 2021
264 1 _aCham
_bSpringer International Publising
_c2021
300 _a1 recurso en línea (XIV, 453 páginas)
_b170 ilustraciones, 155 ilustraciones a color
336 _2rdacontent
_aTexto
_btxt
337 _2rdamedia
_aelectrónico
_bc
338 _2rdacarrier
_arecurso electrónico
_bcr
347 _aarchivo de texto
_bPDF
490 0 _aComputational Social Sciences
_x2509-9582
490 0 _aComputer Science (SpringerNature-11645)
490 0 _aComputer Science (R0) (SpringerNature-43710)
505 0 _aPart 1. ASOCC Theory and Platform -- Chapter 1. Introduction -- Chapter 2. Foundations -- Chapter 3. From Theories to Implementation -- Chapter 4. Simulation Use -- Part II. Scenario's and Submodels -- Chapter 5. Closing of Schools -- Chapter 6. Testing & Smart Testing -- Chapter 7. Deployment and Effects of an App for Tracking and Tracing Contacts -- Chapter 8. How Culture Influences the Management of a Pandemic: Simulating the Effect of Culture on the Effective Management of the COVID-19 crisis,- Chapter 9. Economics -- Chapter 10. Exit Strategies -- Part III. Results and Lessons Learned -- Chapter 11. Extensible Model-Building in Crises -- Chapter 12. Comparative Validation of Simulation Models for the COVID-19 Pandemic -- Chapter 13. Supporting Policy Makers in a Crisis -- Chapter 14. From Crisis to Resilience Support -- Chapter 15. Challenges and Issues -- Chapter 16. Conclusions.
520 3 _aprovisional info text: Simulating for a crisis is far more than creating a simulation of a crisis situation. In order for a simulation to be useful during a crisis, it should be created within the space of a few days to allow decision makers to use it as quickly as possible. Furthermore, during a crisis the aim is not to optimize just one factor, but to balance various, interdependent aspects of life. In the COVID-19 crisis, decisions had to be made concerning e.g. whether to close schools and restaurants, and the (economic) consequences of a 3 or 4-week lock-down had to be considered. As such, rather than one simulation focusing on a very limited aspect, a framework allowing the simulation of several different scenarios focusing on different aspects of the crisis was required. Moreover, the results of the simulations needed to be easily understandable and explainable: if a simulation indicates that closing schools has no effect, this can only be used if the decision makers can explain why this is the case. This book describes how a simulation framework was created for the COVID-19 crisis, and demonstrates how it was used to simulate a wide range of scenarios that were relevant for decision makers at the time. It also discusses the usefulness of the approach, and explains the decisions that had to be made along the way as well as the trade-offs. Lastly, the book examines the lessons learned and the directions for the further development of social simulation frameworks to make them better suited to crisis situations, and to foster a more resilient society.
988 _aSpringer_Computer_2021
650 7 _2embne
_9138672
_aMétodos de simulación
_xDesarrollo
700 1 _aDignum, Frank
_eeditor literario
_0(orcid)0000-0002-5103-8127
_1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5103-8127
_4edt
_4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/edt
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783030763961
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783030763985
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783030763992
856 4 0 _uhttps://go.openathens.net/redirector/universidadeuropea.es?url=https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-76397-8
_zAcceso a este recurso digital (usuarios Universidad Europea de Madrid)
942 _2lcc
_cLE
998 _b01/2022
_da
_eh
_zSI