000			03253nam a22003495i 4500
001			108072
003			DE-He213
005			20230102113331.0
007			cr nn 008mamaa
008			170703s2018 gw | s |||| 0|eng d
020			_a9783319622149 _9
024	7		_a10.1007/978-3-319-62214-9 _2doi
040			_aES-MaUEC _bspa
050		4	_aBF448 2018 EB
100	1		_aLorkowski, Joe _eautor _4aut _4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut
245	1	0	_aBounded Rationality in Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Towards Optimal Granularity _cby Joe Lorkowski, Vladik Kreinovich.
264		1	_aCham _bSpringer International Publishing : _bImprint: Springer _c2018.
300			_a1 recurso en línea (IX, 164 páginas)
347			_atext file _bPDF _2rda
490	0		_aStudies in Systems, Decision and Control, _x2198-4182 ; _v99
505	0		_aHuman Decisions Are Often Suboptimal: Phenomenon of Bounded Rationality -- Towards Explaining Other Aspects of Human Decision Making -- Towards Explaining Heuristic Techniques (Such as Fuzzy) in Expert Decision Making -- Decision Making Under Uncertainty and Restrictions on Computation Resources: From Heuristic to Optimal Techniques -- Conclusions and Future Work.
520			_aThis book addresses an intriguing question: are our decisions rational? It explains seemingly irrational human decision-making behavior by taking into account our limited ability to process information. It also shows with several examples that optimization under granularity restriction leads to observed human decision-making. Drawing on the Nobel-prize-winning studies by Kahneman and Tversky, researchers have found many examples of seemingly irrational decisions: e.g., we overestimate the probability of rare events. Our explanation is that since human abilities to process information are limited, we operate not with the exact values of relevant quantities, but with “granules” that contain these values. We show that optimization under such granularity indeed leads to observed human behavior. In particular, for the first time, we explain the mysterious empirical dependence of betting odds on actual probabilities. This book can be recommended to all students interested in human decision-making, to researchers whose work involves human decisions, and to practitioners who design and employ systems involving human decision-making —so that they can better utilize our ability to make decisions under uncertainty.
650		7	_aIrracionalismo (Filosofía) _9141801 _2embne
700	1		_aKreinovich, Vladik _eautor _4aut _4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut _0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n95102697 _1http://viaf.org/viaf/37212054 _998177
710	2		_aSpringerLink (Online service) _0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2005046756 _1http://viaf.org/viaf/148105729 _9106996
776	0	8	_iPrinted edition: _z9783319622132
776	0	8	_iPrinted edition: _z9783319622156
776	0	8	_iPrinted edition: _z9783319872605
856	4	0	_uhttps://go.openathens.net/redirector/universidadeuropea.es?url=https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-62214-9 _zAcceso a este recurso digital (usuarios Universidad Europea de Madrid)
490	0		_aEngineering (Springer-11647)
998			_b03/2019 _dz _ep _feng _ggw _h0
999			_c108072 _d108072