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Social Simulation for a Crisis Results and Lessons from Simulating the COVID-19 Crisis / edited by Frank Dignum.

Contributor(s): Dignum, Frank, editor literario
Material type: materialTypeLabelPrinted booksSeries: (Computational Social Sciences, 2509-9582); (Computer Science (SpringerNature-11645)); (Computer Science (R0) (SpringerNature-43710)).Publisher: Cham : Springer International Publising, 2021Edition: First edition 2021.Description: 1 recurso en línea (XIV, 453 páginas) : 170 ilustraciones, 155 ilustraciones a color.ISBN: 9783030763978.Subject: Métodos de simulación -- DesarrolloOnline resources: Acceso a este recurso digital (usuarios Universidad Europea de Madrid)Digital Resources
Contents:
Part 1. ASOCC Theory and Platform -- Chapter 1. Introduction -- Chapter 2. Foundations -- Chapter 3. From Theories to Implementation -- Chapter 4. Simulation Use -- Part II. Scenario's and Submodels -- Chapter 5. Closing of Schools -- Chapter 6. Testing & Smart Testing -- Chapter 7. Deployment and Effects of an App for Tracking and Tracing Contacts -- Chapter 8. How Culture Influences the Management of a Pandemic: Simulating the Effect of Culture on the Effective Management of the COVID-19 crisis,- Chapter 9. Economics -- Chapter 10. Exit Strategies -- Part III. Results and Lessons Learned -- Chapter 11. Extensible Model-Building in Crises -- Chapter 12. Comparative Validation of Simulation Models for the COVID-19 Pandemic -- Chapter 13. Supporting Policy Makers in a Crisis -- Chapter 14. From Crisis to Resilience Support -- Chapter 15. Challenges and Issues -- Chapter 16. Conclusions.
Abstract: provisional info text: Simulating for a crisis is far more than creating a simulation of a crisis situation. In order for a simulation to be useful during a crisis, it should be created within the space of a few days to allow decision makers to use it as quickly as possible. Furthermore, during a crisis the aim is not to optimize just one factor, but to balance various, interdependent aspects of life. In the COVID-19 crisis, decisions had to be made concerning e.g. whether to close schools and restaurants, and the (economic) consequences of a 3 or 4-week lock-down had to be considered. As such, rather than one simulation focusing on a very limited aspect, a framework allowing the simulation of several different scenarios focusing on different aspects of the crisis was required. Moreover, the results of the simulations needed to be easily understandable and explainable: if a simulation indicates that closing schools has no effect, this can only be used if the decision makers can explain why this is the case. This book describes how a simulation framework was created for the COVID-19 crisis, and demonstrates how it was used to simulate a wide range of scenarios that were relevant for decision makers at the time. It also discusses the usefulness of the approach, and explains the decisions that had to be made along the way as well as the trade-offs. Lastly, the book examines the lessons learned and the directions for the further development of social simulation frameworks to make them better suited to crisis situations, and to foster a more resilient society.
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Holdings
Item type Current library Collection Call number Status Date due Barcode Item holds
LIBRO-E NO PRÉSTAMO LIBRO-E NO PRÉSTAMO Madrid Digital Acceso Electrónico (UEM) Ciencias e Ingeniería HN29.5 2021 EB (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Acceso electrónico eBook.19122223
Total holds: 0

Part 1. ASOCC Theory and Platform -- Chapter 1. Introduction -- Chapter 2. Foundations -- Chapter 3. From Theories to Implementation -- Chapter 4. Simulation Use -- Part II. Scenario's and Submodels -- Chapter 5. Closing of Schools -- Chapter 6. Testing & Smart Testing -- Chapter 7. Deployment and Effects of an App for Tracking and Tracing Contacts -- Chapter 8. How Culture Influences the Management of a Pandemic: Simulating the Effect of Culture on the Effective Management of the COVID-19 crisis,- Chapter 9. Economics -- Chapter 10. Exit Strategies -- Part III. Results and Lessons Learned -- Chapter 11. Extensible Model-Building in Crises -- Chapter 12. Comparative Validation of Simulation Models for the COVID-19 Pandemic -- Chapter 13. Supporting Policy Makers in a Crisis -- Chapter 14. From Crisis to Resilience Support -- Chapter 15. Challenges and Issues -- Chapter 16. Conclusions.

provisional info text: Simulating for a crisis is far more than creating a simulation of a crisis situation. In order for a simulation to be useful during a crisis, it should be created within the space of a few days to allow decision makers to use it as quickly as possible. Furthermore, during a crisis the aim is not to optimize just one factor, but to balance various, interdependent aspects of life. In the COVID-19 crisis, decisions had to be made concerning e.g. whether to close schools and restaurants, and the (economic) consequences of a 3 or 4-week lock-down had to be considered. As such, rather than one simulation focusing on a very limited aspect, a framework allowing the simulation of several different scenarios focusing on different aspects of the crisis was required. Moreover, the results of the simulations needed to be easily understandable and explainable: if a simulation indicates that closing schools has no effect, this can only be used if the decision makers can explain why this is the case. This book describes how a simulation framework was created for the COVID-19 crisis, and demonstrates how it was used to simulate a wide range of scenarios that were relevant for decision makers at the time. It also discusses the usefulness of the approach, and explains the decisions that had to be made along the way as well as the trade-offs. Lastly, the book examines the lessons learned and the directions for the further development of social simulation frameworks to make them better suited to crisis situations, and to foster a more resilient society.

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